Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.433161 4.009186 4.667862 5.480201 6.459771 7.608692 9.066759
2025-02-02 2.646001 3.399015 4.361022 5.695468 7.522738 9.972590 13.566133
2025-02-09 2.260879 3.091321 4.233201 5.949218 8.517580 12.309290 18.504888
2025-02-16 1.953569 2.803669 4.041897 6.025613 9.217838 14.324377 23.475220
2025-02-23 1.733540 2.591849 3.904940 6.128364 9.942116 16.498413 29.286564
2025-03-02 1.528857 2.365487 3.699473 6.067693 10.360866 18.225026 34.780626
2025-03-09 1.396312 2.230609 3.613590 6.181734 11.092251 20.663745 42.408664
2025-03-16 1.258270 2.065796 3.449885 6.122574 11.478484 22.513600 49.383282
2025-03-23 1.147793 1.932626 3.320221 6.099791 11.923410 24.579460 57.559231
2025-03-30 1.040373 1.791051 3.155113 5.978264 12.134877 26.180744 65.156760
2025-04-06 0.975398 1.718237 3.107083 6.081815 12.850464 29.119674 77.473215
2025-04-13 0.890990 1.599372 2.955215 5.943036 12.987579 30.685085 86.486881
2025-04-20 0.859140 1.587242 3.031966 6.359275 14.654380 37.011731 114.604767
2025-04-27 0.809834 1.536948 3.029424 6.613957 16.043820 43.272705 147.331039
2025-05-04 0.769978 1.499387 3.046146 6.915638 17.648448 50.853608 190.944477
2025-05-11 0.718527 1.430357 2.982767 7.006511 18.699260 57.176302 234.900835
2025-05-18 0.675009 1.372495 2.935400 7.128788 19.887221 64.545626 290.882784
2025-05-25 0.624201 1.292144 2.823720 7.056581 20.457678 69.980399 342.788178
2025-06-01 0.590810 1.246905 2.789328 7.192321 21.757436 78.949695 425.537759
2025-06-08 0.549769 1.179136 2.689939 7.121896 22.340998 85.315595 500.473293
2025-06-15 0.515031 1.122246 2.610175 7.094779 23.081894 92.845447 594.702463
2025-06-22 0.478264 1.056484 2.498875 6.950183 23.350246 98.388006 682.812380
2025-06-29 0.456524 1.025017 2.473713 7.073386 24.711592 110.254215 846.447101